Capital Markets

A GOOD START TO A YEAR OF EXPECTED ECONOMIC RECOVERY

 

• With the economy on the mend with positive news from the vaccine distribution, controlled easing of travel restrictions as well as the return of workers to their workplaces, investment sales activity picked up in the first quarter of the year, with the residential sector leading the string of deals. Investment deals amounted to some S$3.8 billion in Q1 2021, representing an uptick of 26.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) from S$3.0 billion in Q1 2020.

 

• The residential sector retained momentum with some S$1.7 billion of investment deals at the start of 2021. The Good Class Bungalow (GCB) segment continued to draw strong interest due to its rarified and coveted status, as well as the entry of more family offices setting up in Singapore. The sale of a GCB at Nassim Road for S$128.8 million or S$4,005 per square foot (psf) on land in late March broke all previous sales records from this asset class. At the same time, developers were beginning to replenish their land banks through partnerships.

Download the Report Read More

Download the Report Read More

Return of institutional capital and increasing industrial investment deals

 

Institutional investors and real estate funds sped up their hunt for industrial assets. In fact, among the aforesaid HKD1.9 billion transactions, all were acquired by funds or institutional investors. In January 2021, Kailong, a fund manager active in Greater China, acquired Hang Fat Industrial Building near Lai Chi Kok station. This property is expected to be redeveloped into a new industrial office building3 . Another pan-Asian fund manager, SilkRoad, also purchased Smile Centre near Fanling station, which is currently leased for logistics use. Meanwhile, Goodman purchased ground floor to fourth floor of Seapower Industrial Centre in Kwun Tong, with cold storage facilities, for HKD570 million (USD 73.5 million).

Looking into 2021, we believe institutional capital and funds will become more active again, given the pent-up acquisition requirements that have piled up over the last 18 months due to the market uncertainties, which now seem to be easing. Compared to the retail and office sector, industrial properties demonstrated a high level of resilience and stability in terms of rents and capital values. Meanwhile, the industrial Revitalisation Scheme 2.0 also presented investors with redevelopment opportunities, and some investors are eyeing the relaxed plot ratio restrictions to improve the return on their investments with higher floor area ratios.

Download the Report Read More

Whatever happens, real estate investors need to be innovative and adaptable, forming investment strategies which align with these structural changes.

COVID-19 has plunged the world into one of the most uncertain periods on record. Gold has hit record highs, equity volatility is elevated and government bond yields around the world remain low. Yet against this backdrop, we predict that real estate investment will remain attractive, thanks to lower volatility than other asset classes, a history of strong returns through longer-term direct investment, and, crucially, its ability to generate income in a world where 60% of bond yields globally are below 1%1 and over $14 trillion have negative yields.

For the service sector, a greater domestic workforce of support staff will offer renewed demand for office space. Localised employment growth in manufacturing, storage and service sectors will also enhance demand for other types of real estate, including residential and healthcare. There will also be indirect opportunities for international real estate investment. As an alternative to increased localisation, cross-border property investment offers global diversification and more options to meet revenue targets.

Nationalism and the advent of trade wars were already on the ascendency, but recent disruptions to business continuity, and overseas travel caused by the pandemic will only accelerate this trend. This has prompted discussions of reshoring (bringing foreign operations back home), onshoring (bringing supply chains within national borders) and nearshoring (bringing operations closer to home). Some types of real estate will thrive as a result. The logistics sector is seeing additional occupational requirements, which have translated into an even stronger investment demand.

Read More